Thursday, October 23, 2008

Historically accurate poll gives McCain a chance

Investors Business Daily and the TechnoMetrica Institute of Policy and Politics have published their latest poll numbers.  Those numbers show John McCain gaining steadily on Barack Obama this week.  Tuesday, Obama had a 6.0% lead.  Today, that lead has been cut to just 1.1%.  Overall, Obama has 44.8% support and McCain 43.7%.  

That leaves and incredibly important and surprisingly large 11.6% of the populace "not sure" who they would vote for.

With seemingly dozens of presidential polls out there, why should we care about this one?  Well, it proved to be the most accurate poll in the last presidential election coming within 3/10 of 1 percentage point of George W. Bush's margin of victory over John Kerry.

So, though she has warmed up, the fat lady apparently hasn't sung yet.

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